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2005-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 (4.8 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Troy Trojans +18 (71-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Blake 28 4-14 4-10 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 12 0 -
A. Claborn 26 7-13 1-3 3-7 12 2 3 0 1 18 21 -
J. Bosh 22 1-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
C. Mitchell 22 4-12 1-9 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 -4 -
A. Oliver 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Hayles 20 1-8 0-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Richmond 19 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Morton 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
R. Lott Jr. 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
H. Warren 11 0-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Howard 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dixon 32 8-12 6-9 0-0 4 3 3 0 4 22 16 -
S. Sharp 29 7-12 0-1 0-1 10 6 1 2 0 14 21 -
C. Jackson 28 3-9 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 3 4 8 4 -
J. Huffman 23 4-6 2-4 0-4 2 1 2 0 1 10 8 -
T. Martin 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
A. Brandon 21 3-5 1-2 1-2 10 2 0 1 0 8 16 -
B. Ramsey 20 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 3 -
J. Williams 11 0-2 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
R. Damus 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
D. Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Phillips 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter