Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chaney * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| B. Ahearn * | 34 | 5-18 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | -2 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Bilyeu * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Frazier * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Richards | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Laurie | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Easley | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jefferson * | 38 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J. Payne * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Hill * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Modica * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Townes * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. Thomas | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 20 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| V. Hunter | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter