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2005-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 8.8% 91.2% +12.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 22.8% 77.2% -
Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Olson 31 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Archibeque 30 5-11 0-0 0-1 7 0 1 0 6 10 1 -
S. Taibi 28 3-9 1-3 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 8 2 -
D. Birden 23 3-6 1-1 0-2 3 1 0 1 2 7 4 -
M. Kline 21 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 0 -3 -
C. Lowe 20 4-6 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 2 0 9 12 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 2 2 1 -
D. Jefferies 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Lewis 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. McDaniel 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stephens 28 5-10 3-5 4-6 2 3 2 0 0 17 14 -
N. Dewitz 25 5-10 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 12 8 -
S. Cuic 24 3-9 0-0 7-9 5 1 0 1 0 13 11 -
K. Jeffers 23 6-10 0-0 1-3 5 1 3 3 1 13 14 -
L. Hurd 23 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 4 1 0 2 1 4 -
M. Jones 18 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 5 3 -
J. Fontenet 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 2 -
J. McGillis 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
L. Hughes 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Hampton 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
W. Washington 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Tsagarakis 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Casey 3 0-0 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. McConnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter