Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Pennsylvania Quakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ray * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 10-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| M. Nardi * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Foye * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Lowry * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Fraser | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| B. Benn | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Charles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ebede * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| I. Jaaber * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Zoller * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| E. Osmundson * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | - |
| D. Whitehurst * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Grandieri | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. McMahon | 14 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Votel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter