Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✗ (34.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -30 (59-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 34 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| R. McBride * | 28 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Randle * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Arnold | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| W. Carter | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Brock | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Hicks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brooks * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Hairston * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 28 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| M. Leunen * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| R. Schafer * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Johnson | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Lincoln | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Kent | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Zahn | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Short | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Love | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter