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2005-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Harding Bison Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 16.5% 83.5% -
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 (13.0 off)

Actual: Northwestern State Demons +28 (89-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harding Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Sims 35 4-10 4-6 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 12 11 -
L. Smith 34 4-16 2-10 6-6 3 2 3 0 4 16 4 -
P. Andrepont 33 3-12 0-5 2-2 5 1 2 0 5 8 -1 -
R. Bibb 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 0 5 -
J. Bynum 21 1-2 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 3 4 6 -
C. Kee 17 3-8 2-5 2-4 2 2 0 0 3 10 3 -
A. Savadogo 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
S. Barnett 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 1 5 -
K. Morgan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 25 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 6 2 0 1 6 7 -
C. Lee 23 7-8 1-1 1-1 10 6 0 1 1 16 24 -
B. Allen 21 4-10 0-0 1-4 7 3 1 0 3 9 7 -
L. Rogers 21 3-10 1-4 0-0 5 4 3 0 2 7 7 -
J. Wallace 20 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 11 11 -
C. Bargeman 17 2-9 0-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Spencer 15 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
K. Forges 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 4 5 -
K. Jones 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 4 3 0 1 2 12 -
A. Dyer 10 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 1 3 7 6 -
M. Ross 8 3-5 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
D.J. Ross 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Lloyd 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Anglin 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Porterie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter