Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +14 (60-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.