Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Strait | 42 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| K. Criswell | 39 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Martin | 37 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 33 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| V. Matthews | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Ellis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Chavez | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Mayes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Calvin | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Stewart | 35 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Brooks | 30 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Works | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Grant | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Tracy | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | - |
| C. Bryant | 13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Houston | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Cox | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter