Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Floyd | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Soler | 37 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Lefeld | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Wright | 25 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -5 | - |
| E. Marschall | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P. Robinson | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Radivojevic | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Clements | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Harding | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Malone | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 36 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Jones-Jennings | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 20 | - |
| D. Eggins | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Ray | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Z. Wright | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Nichols | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter