Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.