Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mills | 36 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| C. Bass | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Perryman | 29 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Peyton | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Lampley | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Ames | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Acker | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Nelson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Newell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore | 39 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Moss | 38 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Evans | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Wise | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Booe | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter