Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (33.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -31 (66-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 37 | 13-24 | 9-16 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 23 | - |
| S. Williams * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 34 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Pocius | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Boateng | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Boykin | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Perkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Aldridge * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Gibson * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Paulino * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Buckman * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Abrams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Atchley | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J.D. Lewis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Winder | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter