Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (33.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -26 (53-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vaden * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Killingsworth * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 27 | - |
| M. Strickland * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Monroe * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff * | 21 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| E. Calloway | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Allen | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Suhr | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Kline | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rondo * | 28 | 6-15 | 0-6 | 9-11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 13 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Moss * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Sims * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Adetula * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Crawford | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Bradley | 23 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -9 | - |
| B. Perry | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Stockton | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter