Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.