Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.