Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Forehan-Kelly | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Gerrity | 31 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| J. Henry | 28 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Horning | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Griffin | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Grubb | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Lea | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| G. Barlow | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Galick | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 27 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| M. Harrison | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Lewis | 25 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| S. Creason | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Morris | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Gilling | 22 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Morris | 22 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Harris | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Patterson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter