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2005-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Forehan-Kelly 33 4-8 2-4 2-4 8 0 0 0 3 12 9 -
M. Gerrity 31 6-16 1-4 4-5 1 2 4 0 4 17 4 -
J. Henry 28 1-8 0-0 2-7 7 1 2 3 2 4 7 -
C. Horning 27 1-8 0-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
C. Griffin 26 2-6 0-2 6-6 7 1 1 0 0 10 13 -
D. Grubb 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Lea 16 1-6 0-2 0-1 0 1 0 1 0 2 -2 -
G. Barlow 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -
W. Galick 9 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 27 6-15 0-0 4-4 8 4 0 5 0 16 18 -
M. Harrison 26 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 3 2 6 8 -
C. Lewis 25 4-4 3-3 5-6 3 2 2 0 0 16 19 -
S. Creason 25 1-4 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 2 1 6 11 -
M. Morris 25 1-6 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 2 5 -
S. Gilling 22 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 9 5 -
S. Morris 22 3-10 2-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 10 3 -
C. Harris 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
A. Patterson 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
R. Brown 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter