Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fazekas * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| M. Charlo * | 36 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Shiloh * | 31 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Bell * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Sessions * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Kemp | 32 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Burleson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Ikovlev | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Afflalo * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. Wright * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Farmar * | 33 | 10-13 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| C. Bozeman * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Mbah a Moute * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Collison | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Hollins | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Aboya | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Roll | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter