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2005-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% -
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 13.6% 86.4% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Fazekas * 38 9-18 2-4 4-6 7 1 0 2 2 24 14 -
M. Charlo * 36 4-13 3-4 2-2 10 4 1 1 3 13 13 -
K. Shiloh * 31 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 3 6 -
C. Bell * 28 2-5 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
R. Sessions * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
M. Kemp 32 2-11 0-6 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 8 -1 -
D. Johnson 15 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 3 2 2 -
L. Burleson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
D. Ikovlev 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 37 6-13 0-5 6-8 8 3 1 2 0 18 19 -
R. Wright * 33 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 0 3 7 -
J. Farmar * 33 10-13 3-3 1-4 2 1 2 0 4 24 12 -
C. Bozeman * 32 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 2 -2 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 25 2-6 0-0 4-5 9 2 1 0 2 8 12 -
D. Collison 17 4-7 1-2 1-2 1 4 3 0 4 10 7 -
R. Hollins 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
A. Aboya 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Roll 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter