Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +27 (74-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.