Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +25 (73-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Olson | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Archibeque | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Kline | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Jefferies | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Gordy | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| S. Taibi | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Birden | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Lowe | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Lewis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. McDaniel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 36 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 33 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. McCraw | 31 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Henke | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Anderson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Frye | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Maren | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Teets | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter