Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +27 (78-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 36 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 31 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| V. Oliver | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Carter | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Boone | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Ford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Burleson | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| N. Fazekas | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Ikovlev | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Charlo | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| D. Johnson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Bell | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Ellis | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Kemp | 15 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| S. Taylor | 11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Lynch | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter