Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Morris * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Harrison * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Gilling * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Creason | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Morris | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Patterson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harris * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| A. Wright * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Martin * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Diarra * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Stewart * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Hoskins | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| M. Taybron | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Hughes | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Afeli | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter