Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +25 (61-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Watson | 36 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| E. Spencer | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Blevins | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Yeazel | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Barrett | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Kellermann | 19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| D. Walker | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Walters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Richie | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Tiemeyer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bohnhoff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 29 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| W. Williams | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| M. Scott | 24 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Cripe | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. White | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Plummer | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Bennett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Brady | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Penno | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter