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2005-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bauscher 34 5-10 2-5 1-2 3 5 1 0 1 13 11 -
C. Karl 31 4-11 2-4 4-4 4 3 0 1 4 14 7 -
E. Lane 28 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 5 0 0 3 9 6 -
S. Robinson 22 7-9 1-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 15 14 -
T. Banks 21 6-11 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
T. Tiedeman 20 2-6 1-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 5 7 -
K. Cunningham 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
K. Wilson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Lloyd 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
C. Hallberg 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Malaman 33 7-10 2-3 1-2 5 1 0 3 0 17 16 -
R. Broadus 31 4-9 0-1 3-7 7 6 0 1 3 11 13 -
J. Balderson 29 4-11 0-4 2-4 3 4 1 0 3 10 4 -
T. Plaisted 26 7-12 0-0 5-8 10 0 0 1 3 19 15 -
B. Reichner 23 3-7 3-6 3-4 4 5 1 0 2 12 13 -
D. Dawes 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 4 7 -
L. Cummard 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Ainge 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Rose 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
K. Young 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter