Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drejaj * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T. Liddell * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| I. Vouyoukas * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Polk * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Lisch | 25 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| V. Newborne | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Husak | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry * | 22 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| W. Miller | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Green | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| B. Sanders | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter