Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Loscalzo | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Armstrong | 28 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| K.J. Matsui | 27 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Nwachukwu | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Montgomery | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Baumann | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Peeples | 19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Sweet | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Grzan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Nolan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McLemore | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Porter | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Mundweiler | 27 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Vinson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Vitale | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Ulrich | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Webb | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Rudakas | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Kittrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter