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2005-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 86.9% 13.1% -
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% -
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% -
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% -

Actual: Providence Friars -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Humphrey * 36 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 5 6 2 -
T. Green * 29 4-8 4-6 6-6 4 3 1 0 4 18 14 -
J. Noah * 27 3-8 0-0 5-5 8 2 3 3 5 11 14 -
C. Brewer * 22 5-11 2-6 2-2 6 5 3 0 3 14 14 -
A. Horford * 20 5-6 0-0 4-4 4 2 2 1 3 14 14 -
W. Hodge 19 1-4 0-1 2-3 0 1 1 0 3 4 -1 -
A. Moss 18 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 10 10 -
C. Richard 15 2-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 7 8 -
D. Huertas 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath * 40 5-15 3-11 4-4 3 2 2 0 2 17 7 -
G. McDermott * 32 5-11 0-1 3-6 6 1 2 0 5 13 6 -
S. Curry * 31 6-13 3-4 5-6 4 2 3 0 1 20 15 -
C. Burch * 23 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 5 4 -
H. Hill * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 3 4 5 -
R. Hanke 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 8 9 -
D. White 17 2-8 1-5 3-4 0 3 1 0 1 8 3 -
W. Efejuku 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 6 2 -2 -

* = starter