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2005-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Golden Hurricane Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 93.1% 6.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% -
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -5 (58-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 33 2-5 1-1 4-4 8 0 1 0 4 9 9 -
C. Ramsdell 33 4-12 0-4 2-2 8 2 0 3 1 10 10 -
B. McDade 23 4-8 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 11 4 -
A. Price 23 5-9 0-0 3-8 7 1 4 1 3 13 14 -
R. Reese 22 4-6 1-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
D. Crow 20 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 2 0 -
C. Wallace 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
S. Mitchell 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
B. Wheatley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Hanson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
K. Young 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wilson 35 0-5 0-4 1-3 3 6 2 0 3 1 4 -
T. Bazy 31 5-11 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 12 4 -
K. Golob 27 5-12 3-7 2-4 6 0 1 0 1 15 9 -
K. Landry 22 1-8 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Boykin Jr. 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 4 2 -
S. Sir 19 4-8 4-8 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 14 10 -
W. Hensley 18 2-4 0-1 3-6 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
R. McCurdy 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 6 -
R. Van Patten 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Seckold 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter