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2005-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Wardrop 34 0-9 0-4 2-3 2 4 2 0 3 2 -2 -
M. Knight 30 9-15 0-0 4-5 11 0 1 0 0 22 19 -
J. Ziri 26 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 9 4 -
B. Worthy 26 3-6 0-3 3-4 1 3 1 0 5 9 3 -
C. Ayer 20 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Haywood 20 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 2 4 3 -
D. Pegram 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 0 -1 -
J. Montgomery 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
K. Brooks 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Criswell 32 5-9 3-6 4-4 4 2 3 0 0 17 17 -
V. Matthews 29 5-11 0-2 0-0 9 3 3 0 3 10 11 -
M. Martin 28 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 10 4 -
M. Dlouhy 27 3-10 2-6 5-6 7 1 1 1 1 13 12 -
A. Strait 24 8-14 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 0 2 17 10 -
J. Hasquet 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 2 1 2 6 6 -
B. Ellis 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 2 2 -
K. Sharp 9 0-1 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
S. Mayes 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Chavez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
G. Spurgetis 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
E. Van Vliet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter