Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| K. Spain | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Camara | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. LeSure | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -6 | - |
| R. Williams | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Sharper | 23 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. McGrath | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Powe | 36 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| A. Ubaka | 36 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| R. Midgley | 34 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| O. Wilkes | 25 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Hardin | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Benson | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Robertson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Pribble | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Vierneisel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Panawek | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Kovacevic | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter