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2005-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% -
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% -
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +4 (99-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 39 18-29 1-8 6-9 5 2 2 1 3 43 21 -
J.P. Batista * 27 8-11 0-1 0-0 10 0 2 0 3 16 14 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 21 1-5 0-2 6-6 1 4 1 0 2 8 7 -
S. Mallon * 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Raivio * 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Pendergraft 32 5-7 0-1 1-1 6 1 1 0 2 11 10 -
J. Pargo 30 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 6 6 0 -
L. Gurganious 13 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 3 3 0 0 5 11 -
N. Doudney 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Diallo 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jones * 37 3-8 2-4 7-7 3 3 1 0 6 15 8 -
J. Brockman * 33 3-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 0 0 9 12 -
J. Dentmon * 30 4-9 0-3 9-9 4 6 2 0 1 17 19 -
J. Williams * 30 10-16 0-0 2-6 7 1 0 0 2 22 12 -
B. Roy * 21 3-9 0-3 4-4 2 6 1 0 5 10 5 -
R. Appleby 27 5-10 4-9 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 14 8 -
J. Smith 9 2-3 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
H. Gasser 8 1-3 0-1 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
B. Burmeister 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter