Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Golob | 28 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| T. Bazy | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Sir | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Landry | 19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| W. Hensley | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Refner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Taibi | 32 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| E. Olson | 31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Jefferies | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Kline | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Lowe | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| K. Archibeque | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Birden | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Gordy | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter