Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell * | 36 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Cage * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Finn * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Doellman * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Thornton * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| W. Caudle | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Duncan | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Wolf | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine * | 40 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| D. Brown * | 37 | 4-16 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| R. McBride * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Randle * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Frazier | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| W. Carter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter