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2005-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Marist Red Foxes Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 83.8% 16.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“
Margin 85.8% 14.2% -9.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.2% 7.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“

Actual: Lafayette Leopards -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jackson 37 6-10 3-5 6-7 3 5 2 0 4 21 17 -
W. Whittington 36 7-12 6-10 5-6 1 0 1 0 0 25 15 -
J. Smith 36 9-15 0-2 3-3 2 2 0 3 6 21 7 -
K. Clemons 28 4-9 0-3 4-4 5 1 2 0 2 12 9 -
R. Stilphen 23 4-4 0-0 2-5 8 2 1 0 1 10 16 -
M. Orman 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
G. Carter 18 1-3 0-2 1-3 7 5 0 0 3 3 9 -
K. Gregory 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Robertson-Warren 28 7-11 7-11 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 25 15 -
B. Abdullah 25 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 6 4 -
T. Detmer 23 2-5 0-2 3-5 3 0 4 0 2 7 7 -
M. Betley 23 2-6 0-0 3-5 4 1 2 0 3 7 5 -
J. Hilliard 23 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
E. Schmidt 19 4-6 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 10 13 -
N. Williams 17 7-11 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 16 10 -
A. Brown 16 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 7 3 -
C. Wilson-Stewart 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Cummins 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter