Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +15 (84-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.