Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +31 (76-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baker | 23 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. Payton | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| L. Kisielius | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| N. Mann | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Darnell | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | - |
| A. Smith | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Mokris | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Cofield | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Stein | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Loehrke | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Trumbower | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Hutt | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Carrabine | 10 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| H. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Stratton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Crossin | 34 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 26 | - |
| L. Cotton | 33 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 27 | - |
| M. Pratt | 29 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Jackson | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Abraham | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Tubbs | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Coleman | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| S. Raboin | 15 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Barb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Plack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Dublin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Hibbert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter