Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +29 (93-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Samarco | 40 | 9-20 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 12 | - |
| J. Floyd | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Soler | 26 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| P. Robinson | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Lefeld | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Clements | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Marschall | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Radivojevic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Phillips | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Freeman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Andrews | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Sommerville | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Bennett | 22 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Crouch | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| L. Wright | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Brown | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| S. Singh | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| D. Adams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Lavin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter