Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +33 (80-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Rose * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Gill * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Peppers * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Payne | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Taylor | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Noel | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Speraw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Green * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Humphrey * | 27 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Horford * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Noah * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 23 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| W. Hodge | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Moss | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Huertas | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Richard | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Swanson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Berry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Tyler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter