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2005-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bell 34 2-6 0-1 4-6 2 1 2 0 0 8 7 -
J. Brown 25 4-8 2-3 5-6 2 2 2 0 3 15 10 -
J. Jessing 22 9-12 3-3 1-3 3 0 0 0 5 22 8 -
S. Stoll 21 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
D. Borcherdt 20 1-1 1-1 7-8 1 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
D.J. Jemibewon 18 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
C. Bates 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Jackson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Engstrom 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Sewell 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Griffin 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Dietz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 32 6-10 0-1 5-5 5 0 0 1 1 17 12 -
M. Montgomery 29 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
J. Armstrong 29 3-9 1-1 2-2 5 1 3 0 0 9 9 -
B. Loscalzo 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
K.J. Matsui 24 3-6 2-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
A. Peeples 19 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 6 -
K. Sweet 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Nwachukwu 15 1-2 0-0 9-10 6 0 0 0 2 11 13 -
J. Miller 7 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. Cuff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Trepanier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Grzan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter