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2005-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% -
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Young * 34 6-9 0-0 1-2 8 1 3 0 0 13 16 -
J. Horton * 32 3-8 3-7 0-2 1 4 2 0 2 9 6 -
C. Evans * 30 4-11 2-5 1-4 3 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
M. Brown * 25 4-8 2-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
J. McKinney * 19 1-4 0-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -2 -
M. Watkins 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 2 3 -
L. Lyons 15 2-4 0-0 3-6 0 0 0 1 4 7 0 -
M. Lawrence 11 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
J. Douglas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
K. Grimes 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 35 6-12 3-5 5-8 4 4 2 1 1 20 18 -
J. Modica * 33 7-13 1-4 4-5 3 2 0 0 5 19 6 -
D. Jefferson * 26 1-1 0-0 2-3 2 6 1 0 1 4 11 -
D. Townes * 25 4-10 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 6 4 8 7 -
S. Hill * 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
C. Thomas 28 3-3 1-1 4-4 4 0 1 1 2 11 12 -
E. Ferguson 21 1-5 0-2 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. McCurdy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
V. Hunter 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter