Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Young * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Horton * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Evans * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Brown * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. McKinney * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| M. Watkins | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Lyons | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Douglas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Grimes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Modica * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| D. Jefferson * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Townes * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Hill * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 28 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| V. Hunter | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter