Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 32 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Durham | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Moss | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Durr | 30 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| B. Miller | 25 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Ball | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Beye | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Morris | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Pratt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Archibeque | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Kline | 27 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Taibi | 26 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Gordy | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| J. Lewis | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Olson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Birden | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Jefferies | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Lowe | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter