Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pearson | 34 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Roberts | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Willingham | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Rackauskas | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Morris | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Epps | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Killen | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Ritter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rockett | 33 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 32 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Cook | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Webster | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Bush | 21 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Dotson | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| J. Rogers | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter