Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Freeman | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| H. Hargrave | 34 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Bausley | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Harris | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Leath | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Roberts | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Lange | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Adams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Beekman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Juillerat | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 38 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| V. Oliver | 36 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Marentez | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Boone | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Carter | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter