Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vukusic * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| T. Doyle * | 36 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Carson * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Moore * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Williams * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Hachad | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Seacat | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Ross | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Melchior | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Diane * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| A. Joseph * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Cain | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Campbell | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Shiembob | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Forkin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Deasey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter