Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 40 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 19 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 29 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Pocius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vaden * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Strickland * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Killingsworth * | 34 | 15-20 | 1-1 | 3-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 20 | - |
| L. Monroe * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Kline * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Calloway | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Suhr | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Allen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter