Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McGrath | 37 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| G. McDermott | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| S. Curry | 35 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Hanke | 32 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| W. Efejuku | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Burch | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Hill | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Cross | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Han | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Oglesby | 31 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| A. Carter | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Van Schaick | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Todd | 29 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | - |
| M. Bell | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| H. Allen | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Middleton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reedal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter