Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stuart | 37 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| A. Lee | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Mathis | 35 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| T. Berkley | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Gomes | 30 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Warfield | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reed | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Jenkins | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. McIver | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Crossin | 40 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Abraham | 32 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| L. Cotton | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Coleman | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Raboin | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Tubbs | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Pratt | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Jackson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter