Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. LeMelle | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Dollard | 32 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 31 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Barber | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Woodard | 17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Hayles | 16 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Cameron | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Barrett | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Morris | 36 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | - |
| C. Lewis | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Harrison | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| S. Morris | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Creason | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Gilling | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Harris | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Patterson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter