Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -12 (60-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ingram | 33 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| K. Payne | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Villegas | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Howell | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| F. Valencia | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Young | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| H. Charalambous | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Amos | 15 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Kent | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pearson | 36 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Roberts | 36 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Willingham | 31 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Rackauskas | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Morris | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Killen | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Epps | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Ritter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter