Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Harvard Crimson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard Crimson +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 39 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| V. Oliver | 38 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 33 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 4 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Boone | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Carter | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Housman | 37 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Cusworth | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Beal | 34 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Goffredo | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Stehle | 26 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Z. Martin | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Yada | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Darcy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Unger | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter