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2005-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 79.7% 20.3% -
Margin 99.9% 0.1% -38.8 (31.8 off)
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harris 33 5-10 1-1 5-6 9 2 2 0 3 16 16 -
H. Hargrave 29 5-8 1-2 6-8 2 3 2 0 2 17 14 -
D. Freeman 28 6-7 5-6 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 18 16 -
L. Leath 26 6-12 1-4 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 17 6 -
R. Adams 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Bausley 18 3-6 1-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 4 10 6 -
J. Williams 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
C. Lange 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
C. Woods 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Roberts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Beekman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Gilzene 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Perry 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gumbs 38 4-11 2-3 0-0 10 2 0 0 3 10 8 -
A. Surratt 37 3-13 0-4 6-6 1 9 0 0 3 12 6 -
N. Pierce 36 11-14 0-0 1-5 7 4 0 0 0 23 20 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 35 4-9 0-0 5-7 5 3 1 3 2 13 14 -
D. Ingerson 19 5-10 3-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 13 4 -
D. Shiller 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Byrd 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Cavic 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter